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Numbers and trends can drive you crazy when you’re studying the board trying to find three rock-solid "Miller Lite Locks".   Will "Team X" that’s 6-1 ATS in conference road games coming off a bye week cover the spread? Will "Team Y" that’s 4-12 ATS in a dome on Halloween weekend continue its downward spiral? Sometimes over-analysis can lead you into a straight jacket and back at the ATM on Monday morning.

Speaking of trends and numbers, how about these numbers on the Pirates? ECU is 3-4 SU, 6-1 ATS & 0-7 in the coin toss this year. Wow, 0-7 in the coin toss. You probably have better odds of winning the lottery than losing the coin toss 7 straight games. Oh well, let’s focus on the Homecoming game at hand. ECU has never lost to UCF (4-0 all time) and is a favorite for only the 2nd time this year (ECU was 4 point favorite vs. Rice on October 8th). In that game, ECU had to put up 17 unanswered points in the 4th quarter to win and cover. My guess is George O’Leary and the UCF Golden Knights are not going to allow those kinds of heroics this Saturday, which means ECU better get up early and stay up to pull off a second straight home win and cover.

With all that in mind, here are your updated "Miller Lite Standings & Picks":

Overall Standings:

Eddie King        16-7-1
Ellerbe               11-12-1
AC Casey          3-5
Ian the Animal    10-14

"Miller Lite Locks" for week 9:

Eddie King’s Locks:
Steelers -11 vs. Ravens
Texans -2 vs. Browns
Texas Tech -12 @ Baylor

AC Casey’s Locks:
Steelers -11 vs. Ravens
Panthers -8 vs. Vikings

Ian The Animal:
Virginia Tech -14 vs. Boston College
Southern Miss +6.5 @ North Carolina State
ECU -2.5 vs. UCF

Ellerbe’s Locks:
Miami -20.5 vs. UNC
Texas -37 vs. Oklahoma State
USC -29.5 vs. Washington State

Until we greet you next week from the Miller Lite Sports Bar, have a great sports weekend.